Y2K PREDICTIONS

A survey of friends regarding their judgment of the severity of Y2K disruptions
The letters (A, B, D, F, J, L, M, and P) identify the individuals surveyed.
Survey dates are also shown. "F" (in blue) identifies my responses.





QUESTION A
9/12
B
9/12
D
9/12
F
9/12
J
10/6
L
9/16
M
9/12
P
10/2
1. How many days will you be without utility-supplied
electrical power as a result of Y2K?
30 30+ 90 1 1 14 30 12
2. How many days will you be without utility-supplied
water as a result of Y2K?
30 30+ 90 0 0 7 30 12
3. How many days will you be without utility-supplied
sewage disposal services as a result of Y2K?
30 30+ 90 0 0 30 30 12
4. How many business days will your bank or financial
institution be closed as a direct result of Y2K?
45 ? 90 0 0 7 30 18
5. How many people whom you know personally will die
as a result of Y2K?
30 100 25 0 0 5-6 10 0
6. Will martial law be declared as a result of Y2K? Yes Yes Yes No No Yes Yes Yes
7. How many planes will crash as a direct result of Y2K? 10 50 0 0 1-2 10 10 25
8. Will another country bomb the United States any time
from now through September 30, 2000?
Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes No
9. How much will the Dow Junes Industrial Average fall
(in percent) from December 31, 1999 to June 30, 2000?
75% ? 50% 30% 20% 15% 90% 30%
10. Will a Clinton be "president" on June 30, 2001? Yes No Yes No No Yes Yes Yes




The way back home.